US Tightrope Walk: Arab Autocrats Try to Redefine Terrorism



RSIS presents the following commentary US Tightrope Walk: Arab Autocrats Try to

Redefine Terrorism By James M. Dorsey It is also available online at this link. (To

print it, click on this link.). Kindly forward any comments or feedback to the Editor

RSIS Commentaries, at RSISPublication@ntu.edu.sg


No. 148/2013 dated 12 August 2013

US Tightrope Walk: Arab Autocrats Try to

Redefine Terrorism

By James M. Dorsey




Synopsis The United States is walking a tightrope with US Secretary of State John Kerry’s

controversial endorsement of the toppling of Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi as a

“restoration of democracy”. The endorsement is likely to be seen by Islamist and non-

Islamist anti-government protesters as backing for conservative Arab autocrats who

project their crackdowns on opposition forces as a ‘struggle against terrorism’. That

perception will gain currency as Egyptian security forces prepare to crack down on

mass pro-Morsi demonstrations in Cairo.


Commentary


US SECRETARY of State John Kerry sought to position his controversial endorsement of

Egypt’s military coup as part of the Obama administration’s support for popular demands

for change. Kerry noted that millions of Egyptians had backed the ousting of Mohammed

Morsi, Egypt’s first democratically elected president.

In doing so, Kerry lent support to the equally controversial notion of Morsi having been

deposed by ‘popular impeachment’ - as put forward by Mona Ekram-Obeid, an Egyptian

politician with close ties to the Mubarak regime and the military.


Redefining terrorism?


Kerry’s endorsement, willy-nilly, provided cover for the military which has justified its

crackdown on the Muslim Brotherhood - involving the arrest of hundreds of Brothers,

legal proceedings against leaders of the Brotherhood, closure of media associated with the

group and the targeting of businesses believed to support it – as a fight against violence

and terrorism. It is likely to be also exploited by autocrats across the region who justify

brutality by security forces and restrictions on freedoms as a ‘struggle against terrorism’.


By defining legitimate, peaceful, democratic opposition to the government as terrorism,

Middle Eastern and North African autocrats like Egyptian supreme military commander,

deputy prime minister and defence minister General Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi; Bahraini King

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa; King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia; and embattled Syrian President

Bashar al-Assad have arguably given the battle against political violence and terrorism a

new meaning.


The Brotherhood’s mass protest against the coup, continued demonstrations against

Bahrain’s minority Sunni rulers despite a brutal crackdown two years ago, and intermittent

minority Shiite protests in Saudi Arabia, have all been largely peaceful. The protests against

Assad morphed into an insurgency and civil war only after the regime persistently responded

brutally with military force. Yet, the rulers of Egypt, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia and Syria have

denounced their own domestic opponents as ‘terrorists’. To be sure, the crackdown on the

Brotherhood in Egypt is making it more difficult for the group’s leadership to control its more

militant fringe, sparking incidents of violence on both sides of the divide as well as a swelling

insurgency in the Sinai.


In many ways, the redefinition of terrorism revives the notion of one man’s liberation fighter

being another’s terrorist. It is designed to force domestic public opinion and the United States

to choose between autocracy or illiberal democracy and the threat of terrorism. It is an echo of

the argument used by ousted autocrats including Egypt’s Hosni Mubarak, Tunisia’s Zine El

Abedeine Ben Ali and Yemen’s Ali Abdullah Saleh to justify their repressive policies.


Cover for crackdown on political dissent

The attempt at redefinition has allowed King Hamad to call on the Bahraini Parliament to enact

22 counter-terrorism recommendations it adopted last month that would ban many expressions

of political dissent. The recommendations include revoking citizenship of those linked to terrorism;

banning sit-ins, rallies, and public gatherings in the capital Manama; granting carte blanche to

security forces; and prohibiting use of social media to organise protests. The implementation of

the recommendations is likely to be put to the test on August 14 when opposition groups plan

anti-government demonstrations.

The recommendations no doubt seek to exploit a sense of alarm among Bahrainis after a car

bomb blast last month near a mosque in Manama, the most serious of a string of sporadic acts

of political violence on the Gulf island. Bahraini officials lay the blame for the violence at Iran’s

doorstep, which it accuses of fostering terrorism and interfering in the island’s domestic affairs.

The criminalisation of political opposition is more likely to be a recipe for increased political

violence stemming from mounting frustration and despair.

Egypt has so far largely been spared political violence despite incidents in the Sinai desert

which the military has sought to link to the Brotherhood without providing any evidence.

Violence so far has involved security forces targeting pro-Morsi protesters. By the same token,

the crackdown on the Brotherhood as well as the military-guided government’s vow to no

longer tolerate the mass protests hardly lends credibility to assertions that the Brotherhood

should drop its demand that Morsi be reinstated and take its rightful place in the political

process.


US walking on thin ice

European, African and US mediators are seeking to mediate a compromise that allows the

military and the Brotherhood to reach an accommodation without losing face. Kerry’s

description of the coup as a ‘restoration of democracy’ may well have been a gesture to

create the basis for such a compromise. His reference to popular support for the coup

nonetheless puts the Obama administration on thin ice as cracks begin to appear among

the opponents of the Brotherhood while supporters of the Brothers maintain their

peaceful protests against the military intervention.


Already, prominent Egyptian opposition figures have voiced concern that support for the

coup is leading to the restoration of significant pillars of the Mubarak-era autocracy and a

dialogue of the deaf that promises a zero-sum-game approach to politics rather than

pluralism.


Kerry’s endorsement of Morsi’s ouster is highly controversial as it marked a dramatic

reversal in the US position of support for peaceful, democratic change as underscored

clearly in President Obama’s January 2009 inaugural address. Obama had then warned

autocrats across the globe: "To those who cling to power through corruption and deceit

and the silencing of dissent, know that you are on the wrong side of history."


Two years later, after popular uprisings had toppled the autocratic leaders of Egypt and

Tunisia and were threatening the rulers of Bahrain, Libya, Yemen and Syria, Obama went

a step further. He sought to put the US behind anti-government protests in the Middle East

and North Africa while at the same time avoiding a rupture with the region’s autocrats. “We

cannot hesitate to stand squarely on the side of those who are reaching for their rights,

knowing that their success will bring about a world that is more peaceful, more stable, and

more just,” he said in a major Middle East policy speech. Obama’s policy in the Middle East

and North Africa has been driven by a desire to live up to American ideals and put the US

“on the right side of history” while at the same time protecting US national interests by

avoiding a rupture with the region’s autocrats. That precarious balancing act is becoming

increasingly difficult.


To maintain its tightrope act, the Obama administration will have to draw a clear distinction

between peaceful, legitimate and democratic expression of dissent and terrorism. Failure to

do so will increasingly, in public perception in the Middle East and North Africa, put it in the

camp of those seeking to stymie political change.



James M. Dorsey is Senior Fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

(RSIS), Nanyang Technological University in Singapore, co-director of the Institute of Fan

Culture of the University of Würzburg and the author of the blog, The Turbulent World of

Middle East Soccer.




Click here for past commentaries.

Find us on Facebook.


Due to the high number of publications by our RSIS Centre for Non-Traditional Security

Studies (NTS), RSIS maintains a separate subscription facility for the Centre. Please click

here to subscribe to the Centre's publications.Click here to update your subscription in

RSIS mailing list.

0 views0 comments